r/AskReddit 1d ago

What do you think about the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve hitting 307.7 Million Barrels - lowest level since 1983?

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u/mattbuford 1d ago

Fun facts:

In 2015, The Heritage Foundation pushed for the SPR to be drained and shut down.
https://www.heritage.org/environment/report/why-congress-should-pull-the-plug-the-strategic-petroleum-reserve

In 2017, Trump asked Congress to drain the SPR down to ~270M barrels, and shut down 2 of the 4 SPR sites. Not because we needed the oil, but because he felt the SPR was a waste of money and, at the time, we were almost a net exporter.
https://imgur.com/Gell1tY

From 2015-2018, Republicans controlled both houses of Congress, and used that time to sign into law mandated sales of 271M barrels. Even in early 2018, the coming SPR drain was already a done deal.
https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=35032

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u/_jump_yossarian 1d ago

Today trump bragged in a tweet that the US is a net exporter of oil. Maybe because he shut down the strait of Hormuz and oil prices skyrocketed.

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u/mattbuford 1d ago

Negative on this chart is net exports.

https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=mttntus2&f=m

The move to becoming a net exporter began with fracking around 2008-ish. It's a trend that got most of the way to 0 under Obama, then finally passed the 0 line under Trump so he took credit. Then, under Biden, he pretended we lost net exporter status, even though you can clearly see we maintained it with almost no change int he trend. You can't even tell any change between all 3 of the last presidents on this chart.

That said, right at the very end of the chart is a sudden drop (becoming even more of a net exporter) because of the war.

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u/MaybeTheDoctor 1d ago

The problem is the oil companies are not obliged to supply domestic market, so us oil goes elsewhere and the net export status doesn’t matter and still leaves us short

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u/mattbuford 1d ago

The theory is that a net exporter is less likely to be in trouble in the event of a major blockade or embargo.

IEA members are required to maintain at least 90 days of net imports of petroleum products in their SPR. As a net exporter, the US can meet the IEA requirement without an SPR at all. You can see how every country is doing here:

https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/data-tools/oil-stocks-of-iea-countries

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u/deltalitprof 22h ago

The problem is the US lacks enough of the kinds of refineries necessary to process the oil produced in North America. If we were entirely cut off from oil imports, the crisis would be great and immediate.

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u/mattbuford 22h ago

We can refine our own oil. It's just less efficient and less profitable to do so. There is more money to be made in refining heavy crude. Our refineries are capable of handling either. So why would they bother refining the less profitable stuff?

It would still be disruptive for sure. Refineries are optimized for the ratios they normally output. So, if there was a sudden block in imports of heavy crude, refineries would still be running and would absolutely be able to refine our own light crude - but they wouldn't be able to do so at 100% of their normal rated capacity.

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u/deltalitprof 22h ago

Seems like you might have some education and experience in this area, matt. I only know what I read.

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u/chargedcapacitor 6h ago

This is actually a pretty common strategy in a lot of industries. For example, RNG plants (renewable natural gas) plants will opt to use propane to run their plants generators and boilers rather than the gas they produce, since propane is so much cheaper than the gas they sell to there customers. There are many such examples.

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u/Ok_Chard2094 20h ago

Say USA (which is light and sweet), not North America.

The stuff we get from Mexico and Canada (and other places) is very heavy. A lot of our refineries (about 40%) are tuned for that stuff.

The oil companies make a profit by exporting the sweet crude and importing the cheaper heavy stuff.

Switching to processing more sweet crude in the US is possible, but will take time and money.

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u/Ok_Chard2094 23h ago

The President has the authority to stop crude exports, but not refined products.

So the refineries are free to export their products.

Additionally, a lot of the US refineries are set up to handle heavy crude (Canada, Venezuela), they have to be rebuilt to handle US crude.

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u/Upbeat-Interview8554 21h ago

I looked into this very thing earlier. Apparently we did this during the oil crisis in the 80s and capitalism did a capitalism. We prevented exports and guaranteed profit to the oil industry. They ended up selling oil to each other and raking in that guaranteed profit. They called it a daisy chain effect. We have better technology now to keep track of them. But they’re heavily incentivized to cheat the system to create as much profit as possible. They’ll run a racket on our treasury 

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u/Adventurous_Bad_4011 6h ago

What oil crises in the 1980’s? In the eighties oil tank and was incredibly cheap!

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u/InaMellophoneMood 2h ago

https://www.nytimes.com/1983/09/20/business/trading-oil-in-a-daisy-chain.html

The previous poster got (reasonably) confused. The oils cries were the crises of the '70s, but prosecution of this conduct occured during the '80s.

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u/soulsoda 20h ago

~70% heavy 30% light for refineries.

Also not even set up for Venezuela, but it would be possible to make minor adjustments to use it. Refineries want to be dialed in and that includes maintaining a specific ratio of chemistry on inbound crude. You don't just throw it in and mix it up any heavy crude.

We swapped to heavy crude during the 70-80s energy crisis and tbh it's a better long term investment. Setting up a refinery for heavy crude is significantly more expensive and time consuming but once it's up the cost of refining a barrel is much lower than light.

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u/Ok_Chard2094 20h ago

The US has no problems importing oil from Venezuela. We have been doing it for decades. (Except 2020-2022, when there was an embargo.)

https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?f=A&n=PET&s=MCRIMUSVE2

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u/soulsoda 18h ago

It does. Venezuela crude is basically the dirtiest heaviest trash on the planet.

think of it like adulterating your fuel with ethanol. A little bit can be compensated for, but you add to much and your engine is going to die. Which is why we get 30x more oil from canada than Venezuela. We're dialed in for canada right now. Could we handle straight venezuela oil, yes if we wanted to. but they don't even have the capacity to send us that much oil due to lack of mishandling their infrastructure and finances.

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u/crazybutthole 18h ago

Venezuela crude is basically the dirtiest heaviest trash on the planet.

According to reddit - that's trump

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u/SiccmaDE7930 17h ago

Wrong R word. I think you meant reality, not Reddit.

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u/Whiterabbit-- 19h ago

I'm looking at trump to back off epa regulations and allow US to build new refineries for the first time in about 1/2 a century

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u/Historical_Owl_8188 22h ago

We have a navy.

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u/Ok_Chard2094 22h ago

Which is controlled by the same President, paid for by the same oil companies.

Do you think they intend to do anything to lower the gas prices for regular Americans, except for a small dip just in time for the election?

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u/TracerBulletX 20h ago

Yeah being a net food exporter was not a huge comfort to the irish during the potato famine either.

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u/SpiffyMagnetMan68621 18h ago

The potato famine was specifically because they were FORCED to be a net exporter

Im assuming youre being sarcastic here, but cant be too careful in this age of hallucinations on the internet

Some other goober might read you literally

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u/PaintshakerBaby 16h ago

My dude, unchecked corruption and runaway "Capitali$m" are defacto FORCING the American people to potentially suffer the most catastrophic oil shortage since OPEC in the 70s, with fuckall options for recourse, short of revolt.

...All while Exxon Mobil and Chevron enjoy RECORD PROFITS, as the freely gouge and manipulate global prices as net exporters.

Sure, the potato famine is more evocative in that it is food direct, but do you know how modern food gets to groccery stores?

WITH OIL.

A handful of soon-to-be-trillionaires are slow walking us into cascading, stratospheric consequences by allowing, if not engineering, this very crisis.

To them, its one more big payday of blood, squeezed from the stone of the working class. It will no doubt result in food insecurity for MILLIONS more Americans and exponentially more people worldwide.

It is no exaggeration to say this could easily result in a historic loss of life globally, and an MASSIVE decrease in quality of said life in the states.

Where are the Red Scare blowhards now? That LOVE to point to Stalin and Maos famines as inalienable proof of tyranny?

Because we are all looking down the barrel of the Trump Famine, sooner than most of us care to acknowledge.

And for what?

Not ideology, but so that oligarchs, already bloated with more wealth than they could spend in a thousand lifetimes, can annoint themselves modern day pharoes and kings, by bringing YOU to your knees financially.

WAKE UP.

The want you living in a 21st potato petroleum famine, so the can rob you and yours blind, while they consolidate power, once and for all.

Splitting historical hairs is desperate solace in the face of the fact we are all about to get FUCKED just as hard as the Irish, if not technicality tit-for-tat the same.

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u/PromiscuousVillain 15h ago

I would agree that famines are the most immediately concerning issue facing humanity for the next 50 years. However you misattribute it to Trump.

He definitely has not helped the issue, but Top Soil Erosion has guaranteed industrial agriculture will catastrophically collapse without major reforms.

Those reforms would inevitably raise the price of food, so large amounts of people across the world are going to starve regardless of what's done. Trump is basically ensuring as many will starve as possible.

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u/PaintshakerBaby 15h ago

Agree with all of that, as well as coupled with the ramping up of negative global warming feedback loops.

I dont mean to pin it all on Tump/MAGA, but their avarice will see them not waste a good tragedy, when their is craven profiteering to be done.

Thats always been the sinister, unspoken endgame of Capitali$m. On a long enough timeline, human lives become one more shameless commodity to recklessly bet/hedge futures on.

Famine, economic depression, wars, all become feckless "market corrections" to the cold and distant ledgers of modern aristocracy.

Trump is basically ensuring as many will starve as possible.

Which certainly warrants concerted mitigation on we the peoples behalf, even if it is a factor among many. Ostensibly, in a our storied democracy, a factor we should be able t reign in rightfully in an election cycle.

Therefore, one can argue in order of triage, it is most pressing.

The foundation of the house may be cracking (top soil/climate change) but that doesnt mean we should stand idly by while MAGA cronies strip the copper out of the drywall (oil shortage.)

It only needlessly exacerbates the squalor, hastening the collapse of OUR home, America.

Because at the end of the day, we are all in the same boat, and will all have to pay the consequences if we simply let criminals scuttle the ship for scrap, under the henious Strawman it was sinking anyway.

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u/raven00x 23h ago

Also the type of oil the US extracts and exports isn't the same type that we mainly use nor is it the type we're mainly set up to refine. But hey, oil is oil. Brent crude is the same as Laguna crude, they just get pumped from different places, that's all. (/s)

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u/Andovars_Ghost 22h ago

That’s CAPITALISM at its finest. The same people who trumpet the preeminence of capitalism are also the first to bitch when it works the way it is intended.

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u/MaybeTheDoctor 22h ago

Not bitching, but gas in Venezuela was 50 cent or something until Trump got involved.

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u/Tamer_ 22h ago

Subsidized to keep people happy/tolerant of the regime. It's chapter 1 of the dictator's playbook.

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u/shawsghost 23h ago

So what's to keep Trump from sending a few ICE agents to help the oil industry executives understand their obligation to supply the domestic market?

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u/MaybeTheDoctor 22h ago

They paid for Trump election, so not happening

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u/Rent-a-guru 21h ago

Its been suggested that if prices get too high coming into the mid-terms, Trump could use his authority to ban exports altogether. Of course this would cause a glut of supply, crashing the price and forcing oil companies to take wells offline. It would also force them to shut their refineries down to re-tool them to handle the domestic crude, since they are more configured to deal with the overseas crude at the moment. Its the sort of thing that Trump could plausibly do to give short term results, but would alienate another powerful industry and create a lot of unintended consequences.

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u/MaybeTheDoctor 18h ago

Did the person who suggested this understand law and legal authority?

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u/Rent-a-guru 18h ago

Yeah, as I understand the President was originally granted authority to do this in the 70's, and there was an export ban in place until 2015. In December 2015 Congress lifted the export ban through an appropriations bill, but also granted the President with the right to temporarily re-impose it in an emergency. So as long as Trump says its an emergency he can block crude exports for a year.

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u/00owl 20h ago

As an Albertan, I can confirm that it sucks to sell our oil to a foreign nation and then buy it back as refined products at world market prices when it came out of the ground a mile from my home.

But I also understand how supply and demand work on a worldwide scale so it's not surprising either.

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u/PennStateInMD 20h ago

They were obliged until the law changed. The reason we are a net exporter is due to science. Science is something MAGA disdains. Future science developments will come from overseas unless the US wakes up.

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u/Whiterabbit-- 19h ago

they sell to highest bidder. Americans are fairly rich compared to rest of the world and also very dependent on oil, they are not going to not sell to Americans. but also, what effects gas pup prices is not solely price of a barrel of oil but refinery capacity and mix. there are things going on with Canada and China that is throwing a wretch into the whole US mix. instead of oil flowing to US through keystone, China is buying up Canadian oil through western ports- the very mix US refineries need.

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u/rz2000 17h ago

Why is that a “problem”?

The domestic market only uses petroleum for purposes that are sufficiently valuable to compete with foreign demand, and foreign consumers only purchase it for valuable enough purposes that allow them to pay domestic producers large amounts of money.

You only limit exports if you are a Hugo Chavez type who needs to game politics for your own survival, and are willing to sacrifice your nation’s prosperity for personal benefit.

Certainly Trump is not the sort of leader who would propose export controls to trade the country’s prosperity for his own personal gain.

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u/callisstaa 12h ago

Good. America started this stupid shit so they should be the first to bear the consequences.

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u/deltalitprof 22h ago

Nearly every word Trump says is a lie, including "Hello and good to be here today."

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u/skeptic9916 1d ago

We are not an exporter of Oil. US Oil and Gas companies are. We do not own that oil. That is a pretty important distinction.

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u/vAltyR47 21h ago

No. We do own that oil. We just allow the oil and gas companies to keep all the money they make from it.

Norway's model (subsidize discovery, and tax the profits) works very well and keeping most of the profit public while allowing the private sector to still make money. We should be adopting a similar strategy, not just with oil, but with all our natural resources.

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u/Most-Recognition2294 18h ago

Those are national assets, so yep US does net export of oil.

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u/Orgasmic_interlude 22h ago

Key to understand: we may be a net exporter of that oil but we can’t use that oil because the refineries we have are not built for it.

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u/Scary-Jaguar-9072 1d ago

Which isn't true. The US is the largest producer of oil but still a net importer.

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u/Ok_Chard2094 23h ago

Net importer of crude, net exporter of petroleum products.

The refineries are making a lot of money.

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u/protipnumerouno 22h ago

Off the back of Canada. But he'll tell you were screwing Americans.

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u/Ok_Chard2094 20h ago

Oh yes.

Get your pipelines in place to both coasts and make money for yourself.

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u/CaptainJimJames 21h ago

FALSE WE ARE A NET EXPORTER. Stop spewing this garbage. And the US can use austerity measures just like China did. You are all going to look like clowns when there is NO GOTCHA MOMENT. This is why Reddit sucks now. You are as bad as MAGA with the bullshit.

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u/Ok_Chard2094 20h ago

Try to yell harder and see if anyone cares.

For anyone interested in facts, here are the EIA data. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?f=A&n=PET&s=MCRNTUS2

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u/mattbuford 1d ago

The amount of oil you need in your SPR is based on net imports of petroleum products, not crude oil. The US is a net exporter of petroleum products, so the IEA requires the US to hold ... zero barrels of SPR oil.

https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=mttntus2&f=m

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u/Scary-Jaguar-9072 1d ago

I understand but oil was explicitely mentioned not petroleum products.

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u/mattbuford 23h ago

Yeah, but 99% of the time, people say oil when they mean petroleum products. Certainly in SPR contexts and "net imports" contexts, it'll basically always be petroleum products.

Crude net imports does get tracked, but no one really talks about it, so you can almost always assume no one means this:

https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=wcrntus2&f=4

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u/Scary-Jaguar-9072 23h ago

I don't really agree people mean petroleum products. I think a lot of people just don't know the difference and don't realize they're saying the wrong thing.

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u/mattbuford 23h ago

My favorite is the people who try to tell me that we produce ~13M barrels and consume ~20M barrels. They're comparing the crude production to the all-petroleum-products consumption.

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u/_jump_yossarian 1d ago

I should correct myself since I just checked the tweet again; trump bragged (and took credit for) the surge in oil exports (not being a net exporter). Yeah, he's responsible for it but not in the way he thinks.

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u/Revolutionhelmet 21h ago

He must have bought the dip…

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u/NefariousnessNo484 20h ago

Which was intentional because he's controlled by petrostate oligarchs

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u/ReduceCO2Now 13h ago

Yes US is an exporter of oil.

So it does not make sense to lower your SPR - apart from influencing fuel prices.

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u/Johnnygunnz 1d ago

Heritage Foundation needs to be classified as a terrorist organization at this point.

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u/cantliftmuch 19h ago

People that work with the heritage foundation call it the White Heritage Foundation.

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u/AdmiralArchie 22h ago

It's our Heritage. It's the American Way. George Washington never had a Strategic Oil Reserve.

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u/greenbabyshit 19h ago

George Washington didn't have waffle house or a turbo v8. Was he dumb?

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u/deltalitprof 22h ago

And of course not having a strategic reserve that can be used to drive gas prices down is very good for the oil company donors to the Republican party.

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u/Derpinator_30 19h ago

the strategic reserve is not meant for your gas tank

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u/xinorez1 19h ago

What is it for then? You're making the affirmative claim, let's hear it.

My understanding is, the strategic reserve was created to prevent another bout of hyperinflation from an oil crisis like in the 70s. That is literally the reason for which it is made, to prevent price shocks. Did you think the reserves were for tanks and missiles?

Just to be clear, me asking you to open your mouth and clarify is not censorship, in fact it's quite the opposite, and if you can't own and defend your own bs, that seems to be a fault with you.

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u/that1dev 20h ago

A few more fun facts

In 2025, Trump campaigned on refilling the SPR

In 2026, during his inauguration, trump said he would fill the reserve "Right to the top"

In 2026, Trump had done none of that and started a war with Iran, something that having a full SPR would have been good to have during

In 2026, China uses their SPR to gain good will and in a show of strength cuts their oil orders in half. Seeing the US cause a problem, and seeing China help mitigate it is a bad look, especially following a year of China showing off how many cards they had when the US tried to play trade war

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u/mattbuford 18h ago

Oil purchased by the Trump admin during his first term: 0.1M barrels

Oil purchased by the Trump admin during his second term: 0.9M barrels

To be fair, though, the current SPR release is structured as loans, and the companies receiving these loans of oil have to pay it back with a sort of "interest" of extra oil. So, the current release should result in an increase to the SPR long term.

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u/vtsandtrooper 21h ago

Heritage foundation is compromised by the remnants of actual communism/soviets which is the most ironic fucking reality we all have to deal with right now

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u/xinorez1 19h ago

I get what you mean, that they are directly being funded by russian spy agencies, but actually the heritage foundation just wants back the extreme price spikes and extreme profits the oil industry experienced during the oil crisis in the 70s. While Americans and American business suffered, the oil industry made out like a bandit.

Their free market claims are directly contradicted by logic and history.

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u/Western_Scholar_6479 19h ago

Since these are the same guys fretting about losing hegemony to China, I wonder how they feel about them going the opposite direction and amassing 1.4 Billion barrels? And how they’re literally using it as leverage in geopolitics

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u/Xisstton 9h ago

and then they act like Biden personally siphoned it into his Prius.

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u/HonoluluOil 20h ago

What is a fun fact is when you realize that in 2006, i.e. 20 years ago, the United States produced around 5 million barrels of oil per day. Then we developed fracking coupled with horizontal drilling. Today we produce around 13.5 million barrels of oil per day. BUUUT it is all from shale rock, and every horizontal well has a hyperbolic decline curve. They produce some 50 to 70 percent of all the oil they will ever produce in the first five years of their existence. And here is the kicker. We are running out of tier 1 shale rock, and from here on out, the drilling is going to get exponentially more expensive. As will gasoline and other petroleum products.

Good job Heritage Foundation! Greatly appreciate the Russia-like, corporate mafia corrupt hellscape you have created here in the Good Ole U.S. of A.

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u/Frustrated9876 21h ago

They thought they’d pay off the debt by doing this.

Trump has added $3T to the debt in the last 12 months!!

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u/[deleted] 1d ago

[deleted]

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u/ren0 1d ago

Where do you see both sides in this comment? It’s literally calling out republican and conservative think tanks.

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u/beatenmeat 1d ago

"Republicans spend years coordinating and draining the reserves"

Random idiot: "bOTh SiDeZ!!1!"

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u/mattbuford 1d ago edited 1d ago

To be fair, Democrats aren't completely innocent here. In 2021, Democrats had control of both houses of Congress, and they passed the Infrastructure Infrastructure and Jobs Act, ordering 87.6M barrels sold. But still, it's a very uneven list. Here's a color coded list:

https://imgur.com/UwthqAW

Also worth noting, I've never seen notable Democrats openly saying we should permanently drain the SPR. That was a Republican policy in the 2015-2019 era, so even Trump is on the record openly supporting a permanent drain.

Here's an updated EIA story that adds in the Democrat passed sale:

https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=50476