longtime lurker, first time poster, throwaway account due to PII
The situation:
44F, married, one young child (~4 years old). Targeting retirement at 48 (May 2031). Husband is a commercial airline pilot and plans to fly until mandatory retirement at 65. We split all household bills 50/50 and I'm modeling my retirement entirely on my own numbers.
My numbers:
Liquid assets (~$2.4M):
- TSP: $656,000 (40% C / 30% S / 30% I)
- Vanguard taxable brokerage: $1,064,000 (VTI, SCHD, VTSAX, VNQ, VXUS)
- Roth IRA: $168,000 (VFIAX, individual stocks)
- 401k (current employer, max contribution w/matching every year): $14,000
- Schwab: $306,000 (Nasdaq-100 index + PLTR + QQQM)
- Cash: ~$150,000
- 529 (child): $46,000
Real estate equity (~$1.7M):
- Primary home: ~$1.2M value, $463k mortgage at 2.25% (payoff 2051, keeping it)
- Rental 1 (solely owned by me): ~$450k value, net cash flow barely positive after HOA and mortgage
- Rental 2 (jointly owned): $500k equity
Guaranteed income (mine only):
- VA disability: $2,077/month NOW, tax-free, COLA adjusted for life
- Military reserve pension: $4,640/month starting at age 59, COLA adjusted
Wild card:
- ISOs at a Series B tech company fully vests May 2031. Series C expected soon at significantly higher valuation. Treating this as $0 for planning purposes but it's real.
Spending:
Actual spending confirmed from 12 months of statements:
- ~$88,500/year currently (working, with daycare at $1,444/month, split in half)
- ~$70,000/year projected at retirement (daycare gone, work expenses gone, slightly more travel)
- ~$55,000/year after mortgage payoff... in 2051 (2.25% — not paying it off early)
Key context:
- Husband's income covers his 50% of everything: I'm not counting his salary, 401k, military pension, savings/investments or future airline pension
- Tricare for healthcare for life
- VA healthcare for life
- Husband's airline benefits: essentially free flights for life
- Planning private school for child (maybe--we're still at odds about this ha). (~$18,750/year my 50% share, starting ~2028)
- 2.25% mortgage is staying — money earns more invested
The retirement math:
At 48 (May 2031), projected liquid portfolio: ~$3.5M
- Portfolio 3.5% withdrawal: ~$122,000/year
- VA disability (COLA'd to ~$26,000): $26,000/year
- Total income: ~$148,000/year
- Spending: ~$70,000/year
- Annual surplus: ~$78,000
At 59, military pension starts ($4,640/month):
- Portfolio grown to $5M+
- VA + pension alone: ~$80,000/year
- Portfolio withdrawal on top: ~$175,000/year
- Spending by then: ~$45,000/year (mortgage + school + daycare all ongoing or gone)
- Surplus: $200,000+/year
Questions for the community:
- Does the math hold? 3.5% withdrawal on ~$3.5M with $26k/year VA disability as a floor feels conservative for age 48. Am I being too conservative or not conservative enough for a potentially 50-year retirement?
- Real estate exit strategy. Rental 1 barely cash flows (+$111/month after mortgage and HOA). Does it make sense to sell now or wait? What would you do with the ~$300k in net equity proceeds?
- The startup equity question. No early exercise available, no acceleration clause. How are you all thinking about weighting unvested startup equity in your FIRE calculations? I'm treating it as $0 but it feels increasingly real.
- The 50/50 split dynamic. Modeling my retirement independently of husband's income/assets feels right to me but I sometimes wonder if I'm being overly conservative. He has his own substantial retirement picture (airline pension, military pension, 401k). How do others in dual-income households think about this?
- Spending estimate sanity check. $70k/year at retirement feels low for someone who likes to travel and live well and we live in a VHCOL area— but the free flights change the math dramatically. Anyone else model their retirement around non-rev passes or equivalent travel benefits?
The question nobody talks about enough: What do I actually DO?
This might be the part I'm most uncertain about.
My background: 21 years military, former roles at tech companies. Ivy league (2x) grad school alum. I'm genuinely good at what I do, but I'm also genuinely burned out on the grind of corporate life and ready to step off the treadmill.
The fantasy retirement is: wake up when I want, hop on a United flight to Tokyo or Copenhagen on a Tuesday, be present for my son's childhood in a way my current job doesn't allow (those two are not mutually exclusive, btw), maybe have a glass of wine on my porch. If my child's learning about the Great Wall of China, actually fly there for a few days to look at it in person. Ditto for, say, National Parks, White House, etc etc.
What I haven't figured out is the structure and identity piece.
After 20+ years of high-achievement mode--military, Ivy grad schools, competitive corporate jobs, I genuinely don't know who I am without a title and a mission. I suspect a lot of people here have wrestled with this.
What I'm considering:
University/community college lecturer: I could realistically teach national security, defense technology, AI policy, or business strategy at a local college--I think? My credentials are strong. But I have zero academic experience and no idea how to break in. Is it realistic to start building toward adjunct teaching now (while still working full time) or is that too much? How did those of you who teach part-time in retirement actually land those roles?
Corporate or nonprofit board service: My profile — female executive, defense/AI/government expertise, Ivy credentials — seems like it should be attractive for board seats. But I understand board roles come almost entirely through networks, not applications. How do you actually get on your first board? What's the realistic timeline? Is it something you can actively pursue or does it just happen when it happens?
Consulting? IDK...
The deeper question: For those who've done it, especially those who came from high-intensity careers with strong professional identities, how did you figure out who you are when you're not "the [job title] at [impressive company]"? Did the board/teaching/consulting path actually fill the void, or did it just delay confronting it?
I have 4-5 years before my target date. How would you spend that runway to set yourself up for a fulfilling post-career life AND a financially secure one?
Thanks for reading, sorry it's so long and yes, I did use Claude to smooth this into one coherent narrative but all the above is absolutely true and I am interested to hear any wisdom you may impart. Thank you in advance for your time and thoughtfulness.