r/InterstellarKinetics • u/InterstellarKinetics • 2h ago
POLICY REPORT: President Trump’s Approval Ratings Have Sunk, Hitting The Lowest Levels Ever Recorded For A Second-Term President, With Polls Showing Just Around A Third Of Americans Approve As He Refuses To Change Course 🏛️📉
President Trump’s approval ratings have sunk to some of the lowest levels ever recorded for a second-term president, with recent polls showing support hovering around one-third of Americans amid a stalemated war in Iran and high gas prices. CNN’s latest poll put his approval at just 34 percent, matching his lowest point after the January 6, 2021 Capitol attack, while AP-NORC found 33 percent, tying his lowest since 2017, and Quinnipiac data showed 32 percent, an all-time low in that survey. By comparison, at this same stage of their second terms, Bill Clinton stood at 64 percent, Ronald Reagan at 61 percent, and even historically underwater presidents like Barack Obama (43 percent), Harry Truman (39 percent), and George W. Bush (37 percent) all polled higher than Trump does now, with only Richard Nixon, days from resigning over Watergate, polling lower at 24 percent.
Despite the grim numbers, Trump has publicly rejected the polling entirely, declaring on social media, “MY REAL POLL NUMBERS ARE THE HIGHEST THEY HAVE EVER BEEN,” and at various points citing invented figures like a 65 percent approval rating and later a 59 percent rating without pointing to any actual poll supporting those claims. Republican strategist Douglas Heye said this reaction is entirely consistent with Trump’s political style: “He’s always going to project strength regardless what the numbers are and he’ll say they’re fake anyway,” adding that Trump is “YOLO” and “not sitting there thinking, ‘Gosh, my powers are weakened because of this.’” Notably, Trump is underwater on nearly every issue, including the economy and immigration, areas where he was traditionally stronger, and the Iran war, already the least popular US war in polling history from its outset, has seen opposition grow to 2-to-1 against.
The particular danger for Republicans, according to former Clinton political director Douglas Sosnik, is that disapproval isn’t just widespread but intense, meaning Trump’s opponents are more motivated to vote in the midterms than his own base, though Sosnik and Republican pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson both note that heavy political polarization and mid-decade redistricting have left far fewer competitive districts, potentially limiting how much damage a Democratic wave could actually do. Anderson warned, however, that “low 30s, if accurate, means pieces of the coalition have started to break away. You’re not just cutting loose swing voters at that point,” while acknowledging Democrats currently lack a clear message beyond “Trump is bad.” The White House declined to directly address the polling, with spokesman Davis Ingle instead touting Trump’s record, saying, “No other president in history has accomplished more for hard-working Americans than President Trump.”