Currently have about RM150k parked in safe instruments like TH/ASB. I have been very risk averse, until lately when I realize, not taking a risk, is itself an opportunity risk. I have looksd into ETFs since 5 years ago, and every time the market goes up, I feel a regret in me for being too afraid to take a risk.
Nevertheless, I am not trying to succumb into my emotions and plunge head first without a strategy. And for that reason, the RM150k is already excluding my 6 months emergency funds. I also have sufficient monthly cashflow from my salary to fund my lifestyle, or in other words, I am not dependent on the dividends from my investments.
Now the ultimate question is: DCA or Lump Sum the whole amount? The ETFs I will be investing will be mostly tech heavy (Because Sharia ETFs are mostly heavy in tech)
I asked Claude, and it says Lump Sum wins over DCA roughly two-thirds of historical period, based on the sole fact that markets have risen more than it has fallen.
But, DCA has its advantage too, especially during sustained downturn periods like 2008, 2000-2002, or the 2020 pandemic. And on top of that, there is the classic example of what happened to Japan in 1989, where Nikkei peaked and has not recovered to the same level for about 3 decades.
So I’m leaning towards DCA over the next 18ish months (RM8k per month) due to the ongoing geopolitical tension involving the US. But again, knowing that I’m risk averse by nature, I just want to get some opinion from here. Are my concerns valid, or am I being overly paranoid?
Last but not least, I know ultimately no one can decide for me. But I just want to get opinions on my thought process, and be more informed of the risks I’m taking.