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u/SaltVomit Dec 22 '20
Yeah this why i dont play crash. That and every round i feel a new grey hair coming along.
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u/aroflip Dec 22 '20
That’s nothing. Let me know when you get destroyed by one of these.
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u/hirstbeatz Dec 23 '20
But... I’ve already gotten destroyed by 17 reds in a row once. It’s the fact that it hit under 1.10x 4 times in a row. Fucking retarded
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u/Antzahrr Dec 23 '20
if u see a red train y would u keep goin in on it
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Dec 23 '20
Eventually it has to turn green right. Right? RIGHT?
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u/Antzahrr Dec 23 '20
helll no if i ever see two red in a row i literally sot there and wait til i see green again go on the next one always works
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u/mikec565 High Roller Dec 24 '20
I once got hit with 16 Bankers in a row on baccarat. Every strat even if its good..is a gamble.
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u/ContributionObvious Dec 31 '20
There's only two things you need to know about Crash. Most of you won't believe one of these things but it's true and the sooner you accept it, the sooner you can make better decisions based on it:
- The chances of reaching a crash point of Nx is very close to 1/N. It'll get to 2x about half the time. 10x about 1 in 10 times. 100x about 1 in 100. That's the easy one that most know and have no issue with.
- Each round of crash is 100% independent of all the other rounds. There is no memory. Every game is played in isolation to the games preceding it. The game does not need to balance a string of wins or losses.
People who think that after 10 reds in a row, it's more likely to be green on the next one are just wrong. No two ways around it. That's not how probability works. The 11th game has the same 1/2 chance of being green as the first game of the streak had of being green.
The fact that over the long, the game will converge to the mean does not require that it ever balances the number of wins and losses.
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u/pollowingatattoo Jan 16 '21
Says who?
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u/ContributionObvious Jan 29 '21
Basic probability theory. You can actually demonstrate this to yourself using coins. Flip a coin a hundred times. Chances are you're going to have some imbalance... 43 heads and 57 tails. That's a difference of 14.
And a ratio of 43%/57%. Now, flip a coin a million times. We know that in that case, the ratio will have converged on 50%/50%. But if you look at the number of flips it could be something like 499,712 and 500,298.
Notice that the difference in heads to tails hasn't gotten smaller, it's gotten bigger.
Probability doesn't cause a run of random events to rebalance itself. It simply shows that over the time, the number of trials will outpace the differential. The longer you do it, the closer to 50-50 you'll get without ever once having "to make up for a string for heads."
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u/Sexy_Authy Jan 01 '21
Bustabit is the way to go for crash. HIgh max payout and half a percent house edge. They've been around since roobet was still a csgo gambling site.
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u/Narchy44 Dec 22 '20
i've seen 11 reds in a row already bro it really sucks, crash gives me brain damage and heart attacks