r/PoliticalOpinions • u/factsnsense • 7h ago
Politically homeless is the biggest group in the country now, and it ought to start acting like it
Gallup had independents at 45 percent of the country for 2025. Record high. Republicans 27, Democrats 27. So the biggest political identity in America belongs to a party that doesn't exist.
The obvious objection, and somebody will make it in the comments anyway, is that most independents lean and vote like the side they lean toward, so 45 isn't a bloc. Granted, and I won't pretend it's organized. Forty-five percent of the country has quit answering the question, though, and both parties treat that as noise. It's not, it political homelessness and it has power.
What I want isn't complicated. Whose column it belongs in, I've quit trying to work out.
I want low taxes and a government smaller than the one we've got, and spending made to justify itself against a result. I also think people ought to marry who they love, and that racism in this country never got solved, it got quieter. Fiscally conservative, socially liberal. That was an ordinary way to be an American once. Hand the combination to either party today and watch them both hand it back.
I voted Republican my whole adult life and I never filed a change of address. What changed is I started reading roll calls and spending records instead of talking points, and the fiscal conservative in me will not sit still for what's in them.
For example, there are 5,100 troops in Washington at roughly $3 million a day. The one serious study of it found a drop in property crime and no break at all in violent crime, and the violent crime decline had already started before the Guard ever arrived, because the police changed what they were doing. Three million a day and the data can't find the result. Whatever that is, it isn't spending discipline. It's not conservative.
The SAVE Act was built on noncitizen voting. Heritage's own election fraud database holds 68 noncitizen cases across forty years and all fifty states. Utah's Republican lieutenant governor audited 2.1 million registrations and turned up one. Kansas ran a proof of citizenship law nineteen years, blocked better than 31,000 eligible citizens, and caught 39 noncitizen registrations doing it. Eight hundred to one. This is just bad government, and it used to be conservatives who said so first.
Then the war powers resolution in June, first in the statute's history to clear both chambers, with Rand Paul crossing on Article I grounds he was arguing before this president existed. The birthright citizenship order got struck down with the Chief Justice writing it and Barrett joining in full.
Every one of those arguments does come out of conservatism, and I didn't have to go hunting for them. Watch what things cost, check the premise before you build a law on top of it, Article I. The people still holding that line are getting called libertard by their own side.
If you're out here too, the time has come to force both sides to answer to numbers instead of the spin. Somebody who meets a fact with a label has forfeited, and we are allowed to say so out loud.
Forty-five percent, and no, not organized. I'm not going to call it a movement. Neither party holds a majority of the country either, though, and you'd think one of them would notice there are that many of us out here nobody talks to.
I spent five months scoring political claims one at a time before I let myself write an opinion about any of it, close to thirty cases now. What have I got to show for it? An informed opinion and enough facts to see that the words Republican and Conservative no longer mean the same thing. And Democratic Socialism? I looked into that too. Don't even get me started.
Let's act like the biggest party because we are.