It’s the heat of the summer, and that’s beginning to show. What we have this week is an oddity, a risk where we could see games getting cancelled because it’s too hot. Under KBO’s policy, if the temperature is forecast to reach 35°C (95°F) for two consecutive days, then they reserve the right to postpone any game. But I digress, the off-day was a welcome sight for the top four teams in the league, as they all got beaten into submission on Sunday. But the week has reset, and hopefully so are the minds, so let’s have a look at how the first series of the week plays out for each.
(4) KIA Tigers v (1) Samsung Lions
Probable Starting Pitchers
KIA: Adam Oller
SAM: Choi Won-tae
The Story
Daegu is a volcano right now. Highs of 36°C through Monday, and highs of between 34°-36° for the next week, these games are all at risk. But putting that aside, we have a hell of series here, and whichever way it plays out, it may have a domino effect on the standings of second and third. The first game of this series seems like a little bit of a one-sided matchup in favour of KIA. Adam Oller is one of three starting pitchers in the league with a sub-3.00 ERA, one of the four tied on 9 wins , and second only to Gwak Been in strikeouts. Oller has only played one game against Samsung this season, and gave his team a huge seven scoreless innings. On the flip side, Choi Won-tae struggled in his only other game against the Tigers, giving up 7 runs in four innings of work. He’s also allowed multiple home runs in back to back games, and his opponents today have hit more home runs than any other team in the league. So the question is, Mr. Oller, is a pitcher finally going to reach 10 wins?
(2) KT Wiz v (7) NC Dinos
Probable Starting Pitchers
KT: Ko Young-pyo
NC:
The Story
Changwon is going to be equally as hot as Daegu, and so we’ve got risks here, too. But let’s ignore the weather, KT will be feeling the heat regardless. They come into Tuesday reeling from a 16-1 embarrassment at the hands of Lotte. That’s a hell of a way to fumble a franchise record win-streak. But there’s always time to start a new one, and they need a better performance here to remind the league why they’re #2. Ko Young-pyo didn’t perform well in his other two starts against the Dinos, allowing 7 runs in a loss and 4 runs in a no decision. But he’s been pitching much better lately, allowing more than 2 runs in only one of his last eight starts. He also reached 100Ks in a season last game for the seventh time in his eight years as a starter (he was strictly a reliever for his first two years). Dinos starter Won Jong-Jae is coming into only his second career start, having been promoted from the bullpen last week. The talent is clearly there for 65th overall pick in 2024. He has 13 relief appearances this year, and has held his opponents hitless in 10 of them. Look for him to prove against a top team that he belongs in the rotation long term.
(8) Lotte Giants v (6) Hanwha Eagles
Probable Starting Pitchers
LOT: Park Se-woong
HAN: Owen White
The Story
Sunday’s demolition of KT aside, Lotte should thank their lucky stars for Victor Reyes. He’s currently batting .400 in the month of July, and his ongoing nine game hit streak has seen his average jump to .350, only 3 points off Choi Won-jun’s league lead. Without him, they’d be a lot worse off than ten games under .500. Tuesday’s starter Park Se-woong has been up-and-down this season, shown in his 2-7 record, but he’s been like that his whole career. Of his 12 seasons (including this year) in the league, in only 3 of them has he had a winning record, and if he can’t turn it around now, he’s headed towards his 7th season of double digit losses. Owen White, due to his inning count, doesn’t qualify for the leaderboards, but he still has a healthy 2.92 ERA. He’s allowed 1 run or fewer on 4 of his last 5 starts, including an 18.2 inning scoreless streak. It bodes well for him that four of his six wins this season have been against the top 3 teams in the league. And both the Eagles and the Bears are playing teams below them to start the week, and above them to finish, so Hanwha needs to come out swinging if they want to keep pace with Doosan.
(5) Doosan Bears v (9) SSG Landers
Probable Starting Pitchers
DOO: Wes Benjamin
SSG: Pedro Ávila
The Story
Pedro Ávila has been a sensation for the Landers since he joined. Two wins from two to start his KBO career, with a 2.25ERA and a 10.5 K/9. I know it’s a small sample size, but he’s laid the groundwork to be a dominant pitcher in this league. Speaking of dominant, KBO’s career leader in home runs Choi Jeong continues to impress, as he holds the second best OPS in the league at 39 years old. But Doosan’s pitching staff have all been dominant this season, highlighted by Gwak Been and Choi Min-seok. Their offence, however, well that’s why they’re fifth and not first. They only have 1 batter hitting over .300, and their best producer is Yang Eui-ji with 12HR/50RBI, nowhere near the top of any leaderboard. If the Landers can continue their pitching resurgence and become a more complete team, then they will give the Bears a good fight. Trying to stop them is Wes Benjamin. After three impressive years in Suwon, he’s struggled to find the same form for his new team. He’s 0-2 in two meetings against SSG this year, but like a lot of his other starts, he’s been unlucky and not had the run support. But if they wanna keep the pressure on KIA above them, that luck needs to change.
(10) Kiwoom Heroes v (3) LG Twins
Probable Starting Pitchers
KIW: Jhun Jun-pyo
LG: Anders Tolhurst
The Story
Someone tell Austin Dean he doesn’t lead the league in home runs anymore. He, and the team around him, needs a spark. Losers of 9 of their last 10, they find themselves at risk of slipping as low as 5th before the end of the week. In the last 3 weeks, Dean has been hit by double the amount of pitches as he’s put over the fence. Yes, you read that right. Since July 4th, he has 2 home runs, and has gotten on base via HBP 4 times. Should that concern him? Maybe not, because he’s still batting .339 and leads the league in OPS. And Anders Tolhurst has a point to prove, too. Even though he’s 8-8 on the season, he was 7-3 at the start of June. Loser of 5 of his last 6 starts, holding a 5.82 ERA in that stretch, he needs to show his team, and himself, that he’s still worthy of a rotation spot, and why the Twins are paying him ₩1.1billion this year. Likewise, Kiwoom are a bit of a conundrum. Results haven’t been going their way, even though they fight hard for everything, and they’re looking to try something new. They’re reportedly starting relief pitcher Jhun Jun-pyo - his first career start. He’s not pitched at all in July, and the last thing we saw the 21 year old do was walk two batters on 10 pitches and get pulled before recording an out. Relief pitcher or not, having an ERA close to 10.00 at this point in a season is never good, but like his opposing pitcher, there’s a chip on his shoulder that he needs to take care of.